Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables business outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel prices


(Adds expert, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the 3rd time this year due to falling costs and also lowered its expected sales volumes, sending out the company's share price down 10%.


Neste stated a drop in the cost of routine diesel had impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to impede the nascent market.


Neste in a statement slashed the anticipated typical comparable sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The company now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had predicted since the start of the year, it included.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now expected to offer between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.


"Renewable products' prices have been adversely impacted by a substantial decline in (the) diesel rate throughout the third quarter," Neste said in a declaration.


"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have actually not reduced and sustainable item market value premiums have stayed weak," the company included.


Industry executives and analysts have actually said quickly broadening Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are stopping briefly expansion plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable impact on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share rate had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)


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